The annual Army Vs. Navy football game is scheduled for December 10 and will be played in Philadelphia. Oddsmakers are expecting a close one here with the Navy Midshipmen a slight 1.5-point favorite over the Army Black Knights.
Getting right into the public and where they are leaning here, Army is taking in 66% of the total bets on the spread.
On the Moneyline though, it is Navy with 63% of the bets. At the 34.5-point total, a whopping 81% of all bets being placed are coming in on the under.
Both teams finished their seasons in similar fashion having both finished under a .500 record. Navy finished at a 4-7 record while Army finish just one game ahead of them at 5-6.
Going back to the history of this game, Navy holds the lead winning 62 matchups compared to the 53 wins that Army has racked up. As for the last ten meetings, Navy has won six of them.
Despite Navy being favored, overall trends do not support them covering the spread or even winning the game. In their last five games overall where they are favored between 2-3 points, 1-3-1 against the spread, and 2-3 S/U.
Overall though this season, they have done a solid 7-4 against the spread and have covered by a 4.7 point margin on average.
Army, on the other hand, has thriven when going into a game as a 2-3 point underdog. In their last six games in that scenario, they are 4-2 both against the spread and on the moneyline.
The major downside that the Army is seeing though is that they have a 2-5 ATS record in their last seven games against a team with a losing record and a 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the AAC.
In the matchup trends, the real money is going to be made betting on the point total, specifically on the under. In their last ten meetings against each other where Army is considered the home team, the under has hit in each of those games.
Going back even further to their last 21 meetings outright, the under is a strong 18-3.
Other matchup trends include the underdog going 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings, the Navy going 0-5-1 ATS in the last six meetings against Army, and Navy winning by a 4 point margin in each of their last 17 wins against Army.
— Army Football (@ArmyWP_Football) December 10, 2022
Click here to see the pick on your profile!
The Bettingoddsforfree.com simulation model, which simulates every College football game thousands’ of times, is up +47.65 units over the last three years. We have released 520 total games with 284 WINS and 236 losses ATS for a win % of 54.62%. A $100 bettor of our NCAAF would have netted a profit of $4,765 and, a $1,000 bettor would have won $47,650 just on NCAAF. We have released only a small number of college football games so far this season
| Title: Army Vs. Navy Betting Trends
| Author: Sam Profeta
| Date: Dec 10, 2022